Key Economic Events and Corporate Reports for Monday, February 16, 2026: Japan's GDP, Eurozone Industrial Production, Canada's Inflation, US and China Holiday. An Analysis of Impact on Global Stock Markets.
- Liquidity Below Normal: Trading is suspended in the US and Canada (Washington’s Birthday/Presidents’ Day and Family Day), mainland China is closed for the Chinese New Year, and Hong Kong operates on a half-day schedule.
- Economic Events of the Day: Japan's GDP for Q4 2025; Eurozone industrial production for December; Canada’s CPI for January postponed to February 17.
- Market Focus: S&P 500 sees no cash trading, with reactions shifting to futures/FX; Euro Stoxx 50 and Nikkei 225 gain weight; MOEX is sensitive to currency, commodities, and local corporate news.
February 16, 2026, is a typical "thin Monday": major trading centers are offline, which means even moderate news in macroeconomics or corporate reports can lead to disproportionate price reactions. Below is a condensed calendar of economic events and a report overview for February 16, 2026, with a global focus tailored for CIS investors.
Day Calendar: Events Shaping the "Risk Agenda"
- USA: No trading (Washington’s Birthday/Presidents’ Day). This dampens cash signals for S&P 500 and reduces arbitrage opportunities between regions.
- Canada: No trading (Family Day). The CPI for January has officially been postponed to Tuesday, February 17.
- Mainland China: Exchanges are closed for the Spring Festival (Chinese New Year).
- Hong Kong: Half-day trading and a non-settlement day ahead of Lunar New Year — expect "choppy" quotes for China proxies.
- Japan (02:50 MSK): The first estimate of Q4 2025 GDP — a key driver for Nikkei 225 and USD/JPY during the Asian session.
- Eurozone (13:00 MSK): Industrial production for December — vital for the cyclical sectors of Euro Stoxx 50 and central bank rate expectations.
- Russia: Beginning of Russian Business Week (February 16-20). The first day includes forums by RSPP on personnel, technical regulation, and regulatory policy.
Asia: Japan's GDP and the Effects of China's "Holiday Vacuum"
Japan's GDP for Q4 2025 came in weaker than expected, with growth around 0.2% year-on-year (annualised) and quarterly at about 0.1%. In a "thin" market, this raises the likelihood of movement through the currency channel (yen) and shifting sentiments into global futures.
The closure of mainland China limits the scope for reevaluating demand for commodities and price signals from supply chains; Hong Kong remains an entry point, but the reduced session may distort the overall picture.
Europe: Industrial Production and Monetary Authorities' Rhetoric
December's industrial production for the Eurozone is one of the few "hard" indicators of the day. For Euro Stoxx 50, it is important to consider (1) the direction of the surprise relative to expectations, (2) sectoral reactions — industries, automotive, chemicals, (3) what this means for the trajectory of rates and the balance of "growth vs inflation" for central banks. Also on the agenda is a Eurogroup meeting and public comments from representatives of the monetary bloc.
North America: A Cash-Free Day, But Not Price-Free
The closures in the US and Canada increase the role of futures, currencies, and commodities as "bridges" for global risk. For investors, this is a practical signal to consider widening spreads and potential liquidity gaps in instruments linked to S&P 500 and USD assets.
Russia and CIS: Context for MOEX
For MOEX, the day unfolds amid limited external liquidity and a packed internal business agenda (Russian Business Week). At the level of individual stocks, "minor" corporate triggers begin to play a role — operational updates, coupon payments, corporate events; international investors from the CIS typically track influence through the ruble and commodity prices.
Corporate Reports: Confirmed Publications for February 16, 2026
The table below lists major public companies that have confirmed publications/results for February 16, 2026 (according to the official calendars of companies and stock exchange disclosures). If there are no open expectations for revenue or profit, it is marked as "unspecified." No major confirmed reports from the US have been identified on this date (market closed).
| Company | Exchange/Region | Expected Key Metrics (Revenue/Profit/Notes) |
|---|---|---|
| Bridgestone Corporation | Japan (TSE) | Annual report for 2025; publication scheduled for 14:30 (Tokyo). Focus: margin, FX effect, guidance. Metrics/consensus — unspecified. |
| Sartorius AG | Germany (Frankfurt/Xetra) | Publication of 2025 annual report. Preliminary: revenue €3.538 billion; underlying EBITDA €1.052 billion (margin 29.7%); underlying net profit €331 million. |
| Sartorius Stedim Biotech S.A. | France (Euronext Paris) | Publication of 2025 annual report. Preliminary: revenue €2.967 billion; underlying EBITDA €914 million (margin 30.8%); net profit €266 million. |
| JB Hi‑Fi Limited | Australia (ASX) | HY26 results presentation. Metrics: sales/margin/dividend — unspecified. |
| Stockland | Australia (ASX) | 1H26 Results. Metrics: FFO, portfolio value, development, dividend — unspecified. |
| Treasury Wine Estates | Australia (ASX) | Interim results: profit before one-off items ~A$128.5 million; major asset write-down; dividend suspended (according to media reports). |
| Ansell Limited | Australia (ASX) | Publication of half-year results (up to December 31, 2025). Metrics: revenue/margin/FX — unspecified. |
| Public Joint Stock Company "MGKL" | Russia (MOEX) | "Operational results for 1 month" (January 2026) according to the issuer's calendar. Details on revenue/volumes — unspecified until publication. |
| USA: Major Public Companies | USA (NYSE/Nasdaq) | unspecified (as of February 16, 2026, no major reports confirmed; market closed) |
Visualizations and Mermaid Timeline for Publication
- FX Panel: USD/JPY (reaction to Japan's GDP), EUR/USD and USD/CAD (amid expectations for CPI).
- Sector Map: Reaction of Euro Stoxx 50 to industrial production (industry/auto/chemicals).
- Index Thermometer: Nikkei 225, Euro Stoxx 50, S&P 500 futures, MOEX — in one window.
February 16, 2026 (MSK): Economic Events and Corporate Reports 00:00-23:59 : USA/Canada — no trading | Mainland China — holiday 00:00-23:59 : Hong Kong — half-day trading (Eve of Lunar New Year) 02:50 : Japan — GDP (Q4 2025, first estimate) 13:00 : Eurozone — industrial production (December) 16:30 : Canada — CPI (postponed to 17.02) 10:00-17:00 : Russia — start of Russian Business Week (RSPP) 00:00-23:59 : Corporate Reports — Bridgestone; Sartorius/SSB; Australia (JBH, SGP, ANN, TWE); RF (MGKL)
Points of Attention for Investors
- Risk of a "Thin Market": With the US absent, cash-oriented signals for S&P 500 will be unavailable, leading to potential widening of spreads and slippage.
- Nikkei 225 and Currency: Weaker Japanese GDP strengthens the role of USD/JPY as a global sentiment indicator.
- Euro Stoxx 50: Eurozone industrial production is the main European macro trigger of the day; sector reactions will be crucial.
- Canada’s CPI: The key inflation release has been moved to February 17 — Monday could be a "day of waiting" for CAD assets.
- Corporate Reports: In Europe — detailed annual reports from Sartorius/SSB following strong preliminary numbers; in Asia — focus on margin and guidance from Bridgestone; in Australia — consumer signals (JB Hi‑Fi) and real estate (Stockland), as well as profit quality from Treasury Wine Estates.
- MOEX: Internal events and operational updates may increase dispersion among individual stocks; for the CIS portfolio, the key is managing currency risk and liquidity scenarios.
The combination of "economic events" + "corporate reports" on February 16, 2026, needs to be interpreted with regard to the calendar of holidays: markets reassess risks through Europe, Japan, and currencies, while corporate news gains disproportionate weight.
